The active severe weather season that began in late winter and extended into early spring is persisting through late June. However, for those in the Midwest, this shouldn’t be surprising as the peak climatological period for severe weather occurs between June 10th and July 10th, which is about a month later than the peak severe season in the central and southern Plains.
(SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITY BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY)
Over the last 24-36 hours, we’ve seen a prime example of what to expect across the Midwest during the summer months in terms of severe weather. Multiple upper-level waves have moved through the region, accompanied by a hot, humid, and unstable air mass. Thunderstorms have developed along these mid to upper-level waves, often growing into Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCS). Damage reports from Tuesday morning, June 25th, through Wednesday morning, June 26th, indicate significant swaths of damaging thunderstorms across the region.
(Swaths of severe weather reports from 6/25/24 through the morning of 6/26/24)
Today, the severe weather threat in the Midwest is concentrated in eastern Indiana and across Ohio. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a slight risk of severe thunderstorms, with the primary risk being damaging winds.
Looking ahead to the next 7 days, the active weather pattern shows no signs of letting up. While there will be some quieter days, troughs will continue to move through the jet stream, sparking areas of severe weather as they traverse the nation.
Although the pattern supports an active start to the summer severe weather season, the forecast will still require fine-tuning. Specifics regarding timing, impacts, and affected areas will need to be refined as we approach each event in the coming days.
You can stay ahead of incoming severe weather by receiving location-based NWS Alerts, lightning alerts, track incoming storms, and stay up to date on the forecast, all with the TDS Weather mobile app! Download it for FREE from the Apple App Store or the Google Play Store!
Google Play: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.tds.wx
Thermodynamic Solutions (“TDS Weather”) provides professional weather consulting services to a variety of industries including: professional and minor league sports, snow removal and landscaping, golf courses and turf management, colleges and universities, and hospital networks. With nearly two decades of living and forecasting in the Ohio Valley region, our meteorologists provide custom, reliable forecasts that help clients SAVE and MAKE money in their daily operations. Our services include commercial and agricultural forecasting in the short and long ranges, lightning alerts and on-site hazardous weather monitoring, 24/7 on-call decision support services, forensic weather reporting, and more! For weather consulting inquiries, please contact us at info@tdsweather.com.
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