It’s been an active spring across the United States, with storm system after storm system. In April alone, there were many bouts of severe weather, with 22 out of 30 days featuring a slight risk of severe weather or greater.
Officially, there were:
7 Slight risk days
11 Enhanced risk days
4 Moderate risk days
During April alone, there were 352 tornadoes across the nation! As we head into May, the severe weather doesn’t look like it will slow down. Multiple areas in the coming days have been outlined for severe weather by the Storm Prediction Center, with an enhanced risk of severe storms today across portions of Texas.
While the weekend does look quieter in terms of severe weather, the threat will ramp back up early to mid-next week. This will happen as another large upper-level trough moves into the southwestern and central portions of the nation from Monday to Thursday. Strong winds through the atmosphere, along with a warm, moist, unstable environment at the surface, will create ripe conditions for severe thunderstorm development.
The initial round of severe weather will start on Monday across portions of the central Great Plains region. As we shift into Tuesday, the greatest risk will shift east across much of the Midwest. It currently appears that all hazards (damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes) will be possible early next week.
Moving into Wednesday and Thursday, the severe weather threat will be focused a bit further south into the OH/MS/TN Valley areas, extending down into portions of the Deep South on Thursday.
Analog data from St. Louis University, along with the Colorado State Learning Machine Model, are both picking up on the threats next week. Current suggestions are that Monday and Wednesday could feature the greatest severe weather risk. However, there’s still plenty of time for that to change as details on areas of impact, timing, hazards, etc., will become clearer as we get closer to the forecast period.
CIPS ANALOG GUIDANCE /CSU LEARNING MACHINE PROBS/SPC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOKS
Overall, the spring of 2024 has been active and looks to remain active into much of May. We encourage everyone to have a way to monitor forecasts and receive weather alerts when the weather turns active. The NEW TDS Weather mobile app is a great way to do this! Features include:
NWS location-based alerts (watches, warnings, advisories)
Lightning alerts
Thunderstorm approaching and rotating thunderstorm approaching alerts
Local forecasts
Radar
SPC outlooks
And much more!
The app is now available to download for FREE in the Apple App Store and the Google Play Store for Android users! So give it a download and stay ahead of the active spring weather!
Thermodynamic Solutions (“TDS Weather”) provides professional weather consulting services to a variety of industries including: professional and minor league sports, snow removal and landscaping, golf courses and turf management, colleges and universities, and hospital networks. With nearly two decades of living and forecasting in the Ohio Valley region, our meteorologists provide custom, reliable forecasts that help clients SAVE and MAKE money in their daily operations. Our services include commercial and agricultural forecasting in the short and long ranges, lightning alerts and on-site hazardous weather monitoring, 24/7 on-call decision support services, forensic weather reporting, and more! For weather consulting inquiries, please contact us at info@tdsweather.com.